Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.569466 2.962821 3.401709 3.928677 4.545533 5.246303 6.104954
2025-04-13 1.906735 2.406743 3.021875 3.838521 4.900570 6.243541 8.083933
2025-04-20 1.650510 2.214625 2.956314 4.011674 5.489049 7.504724 10.499098
2025-04-27 1.418846 1.997883 2.800405 4.007611 5.801389 8.405810 12.542285
2025-05-04 1.284993 1.887094 2.760990 4.141695 6.305142 9.626802 15.232581
2025-05-11 1.149856 1.751121 2.659447 4.157475 6.617141 10.585679 17.657682
2025-05-18 1.038786 1.634505 2.567545 4.167498 6.909299 11.539866 20.219483
2025-05-25 0.920470 1.490463 2.412050 4.047881 6.960062 12.084144 22.138005
2025-06-01 0.853688 1.421607 2.368907 4.108592 7.324911 13.220282 25.331233
2025-06-08 0.802043 1.371543 2.350032 4.206399 7.765320 14.551618 29.130698
2025-06-15 0.743495 1.302505 2.289268 4.217998 8.041457 15.604200 32.544256
2025-06-22 0.682193 1.221766 2.198065 4.159408 8.169630 16.376399 35.491345
2025-06-29 0.635074 1.168740 2.164328 4.233771 8.631659 18.024950 41.012244
2025-07-06 0.570798 1.077529 2.050384 4.138667 8.742276 18.984704 45.271368
2025-07-13 0.545444 1.057923 2.072399 4.326466 9.495979 21.518767 54.024149
2025-07-20 0.503690 1.000248 2.009841 4.322063 9.813377 23.097620 60.728571
2025-07-27 0.480161 0.976845 2.014828 4.467632 10.507890 25.733827 71.036085
2025-08-03 0.448125 0.931624 1.967299 4.484766 10.891593 27.659507 79.854553
2025-08-10 0.418918 0.889077 1.920230 4.495649 11.261426 29.626044 89.371985
2025-08-17 0.382647 0.826885 1.821536 4.365777 11.239771 30.511745 95.733686
2025-08-24 0.363154 0.800407 1.801860 4.431690 11.760762 33.061059 108.402591
2025-08-31 0.347757 0.781627 1.797982 4.537891 12.415085 36.154120 123.975178
2025-09-07 0.328088 0.750629 1.760924 4.550486 12.802465 38.516185 137.686086